Ian Johnson
Law of
Final Paper
May 15, 2009
The Failure of Economic Sanctions
The modern world is one filled with
modern weaponry. Modern weaponry has made the cost of conflict prohibitively
high for anyone wishing to engage in aggression or defense. The death toll has
risen greatly in wars since the advent of the Industrial Revolution. Weaponry
became more accurate, more efficient, and more effective. Mechanized factories
could turn out these weapons at an incredible pace, with the only limit on the
amount of weapons on the battlefield the amount of soldiers the warring states
could field. During the world wars, entire populations could be decimated;
requiring generations to return the population back to pre-war levels. World
War II cost millions of lives on both sides.
The economic cost was also incredible high after the
Industrial Revolution. Wars in the 18th century took place on fields
away from population centers. Cities were not leveled and property damage was
limited. After the Industrial Revolution cities could be leveled from far
ranged artillery or from bomber formations. Following World War II Europe
needed the American Marshall Plan to rebuild its devastated cities. [1]
With the creation of the atomic bomb, war was no
longer simply prohibitively costly in matters of human life and property damage;
war had the ability to end human life on the planet.[2] States
with the atomic bomb could no longer settle disputes with straight forward
armed conflict. Open warfare between the
To avoid unnecessary loss to human life and property,
most modern states now look to other ways to achieve their international goals
without the use of force. The benefits for non-violent means to achieve a state’s
are immense. Human life is spared and the economic devastation brought on by
armed conflict is prevented. Thus most states now look to diplomatic means to
achieve their goals. The most common non-violent diplomatic way to influence
the actions of one state for the benefit of another is economic sanctions.[4]
Economic sanctions are meant to
apply economic pressure on belligerent state. In theory, causing enough
economic pressure and harm to the belligerent state’s economy that the belligerent
state will act in a way more in line with the goals of the state imposing the sanctions.
Ideally the belligerent state will modify its actions to end the economic
pressure and the sanctions will then be lifted.[5]
The state imposing the sanctions is able to achieve its goals without the loss
of life that would be suffered in an armed conflict.
In the modern world these sanctions are imposed by
the United Nations, which gives the sanctions creditability. If the United
Nations imposes the sanctions, then in theory the world supports the use of the
sanctions, this gives the sanctions creditability because it is the world
taking action against the belligerent state.
Yet sanctions have not proven to be a very effective
way to influence the actions of belligerent states. The United Nations has
imposed sanctions many times in the past with little effect. Human rights
abuses continue to take place in states under sanctions from the U.N. Also,
U.N. sanctions have failed to prevent conflict and nuclear proliferation.
States across the globe continue to engage in
violence, spreading that violence within and outside of its borders.
Prime examples of the failure of sanctions can be
found with states like
The question is why the sanctions fail and what
improvements can be made to improve sanctions in the future. The use of
economic means to achieve a state’s goals without the use of violence is a
noble goal. In a modern world filled with modern weaponry, there is an added
incentive to minimize or eliminate the loss of life and property while
achieving the state’s goals.
To learn the answer to why sanctions have failed a
look should be taken at the use of economic pressure in the past, as well as a
look at why sanctions in modern instances have failed. By studying the past and
the present use of sanctions, a possible solution can be found to achieve more
successful sanctions. If sanctions could be improved they would be very useful
in a world that has become much more dangerous as failed states and belligerent
states have spread across the globe. A U.N. with improved sanctions would be
able to effect change in belligerent states, change that would hopefully bring
a better life to the citizens of these belligerent states.
One of the most ambitious uses of
economic pressure in history was Napoleon’s Continental System. In the early 19th
century, Napoleon was able to solidify control of Continental Europe through
military defeats of
In 1804 at the Battle of Trafalgar Napoleon matched
his combined French and Spanish fleets against the English fleet.[8]
Napoleon envisioned a great invasion
of
The Battle of Trafalgar was the meeting between these
two fleets. At the time of this battle, naval strategy dictated that the
opposing forces line their ships bow to stern and sail past the opponent firing
their cannons.[15]
This tactic lead to the name of the type of ships used, Ships of the Line. The
purpose for this way of fighting was to face your strongest point, the side of
the ship which had the most protection and the most fire power, at the enemy.[16]
Napoleon’s force was defeated when the British Admiral
Nelson made a radical departure from traditional naval tactics and charged the
French and Spanish line of ships.[17] Nelson’s
maneuver exposed one of the weak parts of his ships, the bow, but it allowed
him to close the distance between the two opposing forces.[18]
Nelson was able to rapidly approach the French and Spanish ships and sail in
between their battle formations. This broke the French and Spanish force into
two groups of ships, which Nelson circled with his forces and eliminated.[19]
With the French and Spanish fleet destroyed, Napoleon
had to find a different way to defeat
At this time
To defeat
Napoleon was able to use his control of
If Napoleon’s Continental System had
worked according to plan,
The purpose of the Continental
System was to deny the European market to British goods. The system failed
because it was impossible to shut off the entire continent to British imports.
Certain nations, like
The problem of
Throughout most of its history,
Intervention for the Portuguese would also come from
the Spanish.
With
The combination of British, Portuguese, and Spanish
troops proved too much for the French forces in
The smaller states of
The Russians did little to impose the Continental
System on its ports, allowing British goods to flow into
Yet even in
states with governments that fully complied with Napoleon’s Continental System,
British goods still managed to reach the market. Black markets for British
goods sprung up all over
The combination of unwilling, uncontrolled states,
unwilling allies, and smugglers and black marketers ultimately defeated the
Continental System. The people of
It proved impossible to control every state in
Europe, so as to impose the Continental System upon their domestic policy; attempts
to do so failed,
The people of
The main flaw in the Continental System was the fact
that it was a total embargo. No goods from
It would have been much easier if the embargo on
British goods was directed and implemented in a more focused way. A total
embargo will not work because it is impossible to shut of the flow of goods
entirely. People will find a way to get the goods they want, which will cause
the embargo to fail as a result of smuggling, black marketeering, and
uncooperative allies who resent the need for the embargo.
A much better way would be to focus the embargo on
certain goods that would do the most damage to an enemy’s war economy without
causing much harm to the citizens of the opposing state. Of course, such a
focused embargo would have done little good against
A total embargo of all goods coming in or out of a
state is impossible. Most states are large areas with borders that would be
impossible to shut down entirely. The cost of such an operation would be
prohibitive. Also, the ill will engendered by the embargo with the people
feeling its effects would be disadvantageous to the state or states imposing
the sanctions.
Directed or focused sanctions would achieve the
desired effect without the negative consequences that lead to ultimate failure.
Focused sanctions would be directed against certain goods or products that
would harm the belligerent state’s ability to cause harm to its people or
neighbors without harming the belligerent state’s populace. The sanctions must
be reviewed based on the individual states and the imports and exports.
For imported goods, certain items must be blocked
will other items have unfettered access to the belligerent state’s markets.
Weapons and technology used for weapon systems would be the most logical goods
for sanctions. Luxury items meant for the belligerent state’s elite could also
be targeted for embargo. By targeting these items for sanctions, the
belligerent state’s leadership and elites will suffer, not the citizens. Weapons
and technology used to make war will not be able to enter the country and
luxury items elites favored by the elites will no longer be available. This
will cause the leadership and elite classes to feel the depravation of the
sanctions.
Yet since this is not a total embargo, other goods
will be allowed into the belligerent state. Goods such as food, consumer goods
and medicine meant for the people should be given unfettered access. This will
allow the people to escape the effects of the sanctions, thus maintaining good
will towards the states imposing the embargo. In most cases were sanctions are
used the purpose is to effect a change in the actions of the state’s
leadership; therefore there is little reason to impact the lives of the
populous.
For exported goods, certain items should not be
allowed to leave the belligerent state. Natural resources would be the best
example of a target for sanctions. Goods like oil, diamonds, and natural gas
bring in vast sums of wealth to the leadership of these belligerent states,
wealth that rarely reaches the rest of the population. Placing an embargo on
these goods would limit the amount of money the leadership classes had access
to while not harming the state’s citizens. Of course it would be difficult to
convince other states to respect the sanctions when they involve an embargo of
valuable commodities like oil, but the benefit for the rest of the world should
not be forgotten. If the sanctions can force belligerent states to change their
policy, the whole world would gain.
With certain goods exported from the belligerent
state would be forbidden, other goods would be allowed free access to the world
market. Goods produced by the people of the state, like food goods or
manufactured goods such as textiles, would be allowed past the embargo. Ideally
this will allow for growth and prosperity for the people of the belligerent
state. Jobs possibly lost due to an embargo on natural resources would be
replaced by these other sources of production. States imposing the embargo
could even make an extra effort to buy goods produced in the belligerent state.
Hopefully, by allowing these goods unfettered access to markets around the
world, the people of the belligerent state would not feel the ill effects of
the sanctions.
By imposing directed and focused sanctions on
belligerent states it would be possible to influence policy change. Focused
sanctions would forbid the importation of weapons and technology used for
weapons system while allowing the importation of food, consumer goods, and medicine.
They would also forbid the exportation of natural resources while allowing the
export of food goods and consumer products. Belligerent states would witness
first hand how interaction with the rest of the world would benefit their
economies. The consumer good section of the economy would grow while areas
focused on negative aspects of the regime would suffer.
While sanctions similar to this plan have been used
in the past, they have not been used with an added focus on allowing certain
goods in and out of the country. It is especially import to allow important
goods, the goods that impact the day to day lives of the people, in and out of
the state. By aiding the belligerent state’s people and hurting the leadership,
real change could be achieved.
The idea that certain goods are
necessary for a state’s survival is key to understanding why sanctions fail and
how they could succeed. If important goods are denied to a state it is possible
that state can lash out in harmful ways. Thus it is important that sanctions do
not forbid access to goods necessary for the state’s continual growth.
An excellent example of the
importance of goods or resources to a states growth can be found in the Pacific
Theater of World War II.
In 1854, American warships under the
command of Commodore Perry opened up an isolationist
The fruits of this rapid
modernization were seen during the Russo-Japanese War. In 1905,
After the Russo-Japanese War,
The Japanese involvement in
However, the embargo had the opposite result.
The quick and decisive Japanese
victories were a shock to the world.
The main lesson from the failure of
the oil embargo against the Japanese is that certain resources are necessary
for the growth of a nation.
Of course
Natural resources used for energy production should
be allowed into the belligerent state. The same can be said for raw materials
used in the manufacturing or production of consumer goods for the building of
infrastructure. Ideally, the lives of the citizens in a belligerent state will
not be negatively impacted by the application of sanctions. The peaceful growth
of a state must be the cornerstone of any attempt to impose sanctions. A state
must be allowed to prosper in a peaceful manner, so it will realize that
negative actions taken by the belligerent state will not have any benefit to
it.
Sanctions have failed in the past when they have been
applied. Today the world faces real threats from belligerent states such as
Economic sanctions in the past have failed to work
for several reasons. Napoleon’s Continental System failed to force
American sanctions against the
importation of oil by
For sanctions to succeed, a close
look must be taken at the goods and resources coming in and out of the
belligerent state. Necessary goods and resources, meant for the continual
growth of the state’s economy, should be allowed. Weapons and technology for
weapons systems should be blocked from import. Goods needed by the people of
the state should be allowed. As for export, natural resources should be blocked
while food and consumer products should be allowed access to world markets.
By focusing the sanctions on the
leadership, they will impact those who set policy and will spare the people of
the belligerent state. The people will still have jobs and economic growth
while the leadership will have to question if there is still a reason to
continue their belligerent stance. Ideally the sanctions will have little or no
effect on the people of the state, and so the people will have no ill will
against those imposing the sanctions.
In this modern world, with modern
weapons, violence and aggression are no longer feasible. Economic sanctions
have failed in the past, but steps can be taken to improve the effectiveness of
sanctions on changing the policy of belligerent states. If sanctions can be
improved, they can bring belligerent states in line with the wishes of the rest
of the world. Sanctions can be made effective in maintaining a peaceful world.
[1] Niall Ferguson, The War of the World 63 (Penguin Press 2006).
[2]
[3]
[4] Desmond Dinan, Ever Closer Union 224 (Lynne Rienner Publishers Inc. 1999).
[5]
[6] Gregory Fremont-Barnes, Todd Fisher, The Napoleonic Wars: Rise and Fall of an Empire 134 (Osprey Publishing 2004).
[7]
[8]
[9] Arthur Herman, To Rule the Waves: How the British Navy Shaped the Modern World 374 (Harper Collins Publishers 2004).
[10]
[11]
[12]
[13]
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[15]
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[17]
[18]
[19]
[20] Gregory Fremont-Barnes, Todd Fisher, The Napoleonic Wars: Rise and Fall of an Empire 134 (Osprey Publishing 2004).
[21] Charles Breuning, The Age of Revolution and Reaction, 1789-1850 158 (W. W. Norton & Company 1977).
[22]
[23] Gregory Fremont-Barnes, Todd Fisher, The Napoleonic Wars: Rise and Fall of an Empire 134 (Osprey Publishing 2004).
[24]
[25]
[26]
[27]
[28]
[29]
[30] Arthur Herman, To Rule the Waves: How the British Navy Shaped the Modern World 112 (Harper Collins Publishers 2004).
[31]
[32] Gregory Fremont-Barnes, Todd Fisher, The Napoleonic Wars: Rise and Fall of an Empire 312 (Osprey Publishing 2004).
[33]
[34]
[35]
[36] Charles Breuning, The Age of Revolution and Reaction, 1789-1850 160 (W. W. Norton & Company 1977).
[37]
[38]
[39] Gregory Fremont-Barnes, Todd Fisher, The Napoleonic Wars: Rise and Fall of an Empire 197 (Osprey Publishing 2004).
[40]
[41]
[42]
[43] Alan
Schom, The Eagle and the Rising Sun: The
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[44]
[45]
[46]
[47]
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[50]
[51]
[52]
[53] Felix Gilbert, David Clay Large, The End of the European Era: 1890 to the Present 295 (W.W. Norton & Company 2002).
[54] Alan
Schom, The Eagle and the Rising Sun: The
Japanese-American War 1941-1943, Pearl Harbor Through
[55]Felix Gilbert, David Clay Large, The End of the European Era: 1890 to the Present 296 (W.W. Norton & Company 2002).
[56]
[57]
[58] Alan Schom,
The Eagle and the Rising Sun: The
Japanese-American War 1941-1943, Pearl Harbor Through
[59]